Race 7B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Riley Legault 11.6% 10.8% 12.0% 10.8% 10.4% 10.7% 9.9% 8.4% 7.1% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Louisa Nordstrom 20.2% 17.8% 15.5% 12.6% 11.3% 9.0% 4.9% 3.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Steadman 16.1% 17.1% 14.6% 11.4% 12.2% 11.0% 6.0% 5.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Maria El-Khazindar 9.1% 10.3% 9.6% 13.7% 8.8% 10.9% 10.3% 8.5% 8.1% 5.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Haddon Hughes 9.0% 9.2% 9.5% 11.3% 7.8% 10.2% 10.3% 9.3% 9.3% 7.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Greer Wattson 8.9% 9.7% 10.1% 9.2% 10.3% 11.9% 8.8% 9.1% 8.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Mary Robertson 6.4% 4.2% 5.2% 7.6% 7.0% 5.6% 9.1% 10.5% 11.5% 12.2% 10.3% 8.3% 2.1%
Grace Howie 5.2% 6.6% 6.9% 5.7% 8.0% 8.4% 10.7% 11.7% 9.8% 11.9% 8.5% 5.1% 1.5%
Katherine Cox 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.2% 10.5% 10.4% 9.5% 11.3% 9.1% 8.8% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9%
Sylvia Hopkins 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 5.5% 5.3% 8.8% 11.9% 15.8% 20.1% 16.0%
Cailin Considine 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 8.2% 13.9% 19.7% 35.5%
Erin Coyne 1.1% 0.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 1.9% 4.1% 4.9% 5.7% 8.4% 13.2% 21.3% 32.0%
Anna Patterson 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 5.3% 4.3% 7.1% 7.8% 11.0% 11.3% 15.8% 16.2% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.