Race 8B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louisa Nordstrom 19.7% 18.0% 15.3% 12.2% 11.0% 10.3% 4.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Cox 7.5% 7.5% 8.7% 7.2% 10.3% 9.9% 10.7% 10.5% 10.2% 7.9% 6.0% 2.8% 0.8%
Mary Robertson 3.4% 4.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.4% 6.6% 9.4% 10.1% 11.9% 14.6% 10.2% 7.8% 2.0%
Sylvia Hopkins 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 4.1% 3.6% 4.3% 7.1% 7.8% 13.1% 17.0% 18.8% 15.6%
Riley Legault 11.4% 12.7% 11.3% 10.7% 10.7% 10.9% 9.9% 9.8% 5.1% 3.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Hannah Steadman 18.5% 15.7% 14.4% 13.0% 10.7% 9.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Greer Wattson 9.4% 9.4% 8.6% 10.9% 10.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.0% 9.7% 6.3% 4.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Haddon Hughes 7.9% 8.4% 8.8% 11.1% 10.0% 9.2% 12.1% 11.6% 8.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Anna Patterson 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 3.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 8.1% 10.2% 14.2% 15.3% 15.7% 9.2%
Grace Howie 6.2% 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.6% 10.6% 8.9% 5.6% 2.1%
Maria El-Khazindar 9.1% 11.0% 11.0% 12.0% 11.1% 11.8% 10.5% 6.2% 7.6% 5.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Cailin Considine 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 3.4% 3.5% 5.9% 7.6% 11.4% 21.6% 38.6%
Erin Coyne 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 6.8% 8.2% 14.8% 21.7% 30.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.