Race 2A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gerard Tonachel 15.9% 15.9% 15.9% 15.3% 14.8% 9.2% 8.8% 3.8% 0.4%
Tyler Kennedy 12.9% 18.7% 17.9% 15.1% 15.6% 10.0% 5.6% 3.3% 0.9%
Paul Luisi 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 9.8% 13.5% 28.0% 29.9%
Samuel Bedinger 11.4% 14.4% 13.6% 14.1% 15.1% 13.2% 10.4% 6.1% 1.7%
Nathaniel Sabatt 31.2% 22.2% 17.2% 11.8% 7.8% 5.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Joan Boyle 5.4% 7.0% 7.6% 8.7% 11.1% 15.7% 20.7% 15.8% 8.0%
Jessica Thal 8.1% 6.7% 10.2% 12.3% 13.9% 15.7% 16.1% 12.2% 4.8%
Mary Gamber 10.6% 10.4% 11.1% 15.2% 13.2% 14.7% 13.6% 8.9% 2.3%
Taylor Hoover 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.3% 6.2% 8.0% 21.1% 51.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.