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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+5.00vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.96+7.51vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+2.57vs Predicted
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4Williams College-1.54+7.44vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+0.97vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37+1.74vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.66+1.44vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.27+2.74vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.36-1.96vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.22-4.72vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.94vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-1.27vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.19-5.92vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.10-3.77vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.58-6.70vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Salve Regina University0.979.5%1st Place
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9.51Boston University-0.964.1%1st Place
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5.57University of New Hampshire0.1012.0%1st Place
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11.44Williams College-1.542.2%1st Place
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5.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.7%1st Place
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7.74Middlebury College-0.376.0%1st Place
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8.44Brandeis University-0.665.1%1st Place
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10.74Bentley University-1.272.5%1st Place
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7.04McGill University-0.367.2%1st Place
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5.28Olin College of Engineering0.2213.1%1st Place
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8.06University of New Hampshire-0.386.2%1st Place
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10.73Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.313.0%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University-0.198.0%1st Place
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10.23Bentley University-1.103.1%1st Place
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8.3Bates College-0.585.9%1st Place
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13.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas David | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Sam Harris | 12.0% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 12.6% |
| William Delong | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 7.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| James Jagielski | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Harney | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Grant Smith | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.