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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.26vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+5.02vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63+2.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33-0.23vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18-0.84vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.02vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76-2.08vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.44+2.30vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35-0.81vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.65-0.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.35-0.45vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.02-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.02Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.77Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.16Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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4.92George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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9.19Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.8University of South Florida1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 19.1% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.6% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cailin Considine | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 26.2% | 19.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 15.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 53.4% |
| Sylvia Hopkins | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.