Race 10B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Haddon Hughes 8.7% 9.0% 9.5% 8.6% 10.5% 11.1% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 7.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Riley Legault 12.0% 10.1% 13.0% 10.7% 12.5% 10.7% 9.8% 7.5% 6.8% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Maria El-Khazindar 8.2% 10.9% 10.9% 11.6% 11.1% 10.9% 10.4% 9.3% 6.7% 5.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Greer Wattson 8.2% 9.2% 10.0% 10.6% 11.1% 10.9% 8.6% 9.9% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.7%
Sylvia Hopkins 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 4.2% 3.9% 6.5% 6.2% 8.9% 10.4% 16.1% 19.9% 13.6%
Louisa Nordstrom 20.9% 20.7% 13.9% 12.9% 10.4% 7.9% 5.5% 3.6% 2.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Anna Patterson 3.7% 3.4% 2.6% 5.5% 6.2% 4.0% 5.6% 6.9% 9.9% 13.1% 17.0% 13.9% 8.2%
Christine Moloney 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 5.3% 7.1% 8.9% 9.3% 11.2% 12.2% 11.8% 9.2% 6.7% 1.8%
Mary Robertson 5.4% 4.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.5% 9.5% 11.6% 11.8% 10.4% 11.1% 7.4% 2.6%
Hannah Steadman 18.4% 17.3% 14.1% 12.6% 10.5% 8.6% 7.4% 4.8% 3.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Howie 5.9% 5.1% 8.0% 8.7% 6.5% 10.4% 10.4% 11.0% 9.9% 9.7% 7.8% 4.2% 2.4%
Erin Coyne 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 1.6% 3.7% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 9.6% 10.7% 23.9% 30.3%
Cailin Considine 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 3.5% 5.6% 7.3% 14.1% 18.9% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.