Race 11B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Riley Legault 11.4% 10.4% 12.0% 11.0% 10.5% 10.4% 11.0% 8.7% 6.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Maria El-Khazindar 9.7% 8.9% 10.2% 11.4% 10.9% 10.7% 10.1% 8.9% 7.6% 6.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Greer Wattson 6.8% 9.6% 10.3% 8.5% 10.6% 9.3% 10.8% 11.2% 7.9% 8.8% 3.3% 2.6% 0.3%
Haddon Hughes 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 11.1% 9.2% 10.2% 9.1% 11.2% 9.9% 7.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Louisa Nordstrom 20.7% 19.2% 14.1% 10.7% 11.8% 8.9% 5.9% 4.5% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Brittney Slook 9.0% 10.2% 9.7% 10.2% 10.1% 10.8% 11.2% 8.3% 8.1% 7.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Anna Patterson 3.4% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 6.4% 4.4% 5.8% 11.8% 12.9% 16.6% 15.4% 8.1%
Sylvia Hopkins 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 2.5% 2.6% 4.7% 5.9% 9.2% 10.6% 16.7% 22.4% 15.0%
Hannah Steadman 16.2% 15.9% 14.7% 12.5% 11.0% 9.3% 6.9% 6.3% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Howie 6.0% 5.4% 4.7% 6.6% 9.0% 8.9% 10.1% 9.9% 9.9% 11.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.5%
Christine Moloney 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 9.4% 12.2% 12.4% 9.9% 10.3% 6.3% 2.2%
Erin Coyne 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 5.4% 8.5% 14.4% 21.5% 31.1%
Cailin Considine 1.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 5.4% 7.9% 13.9% 19.6% 39.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.