Race 12B

navy-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louisa Nordstrom 20.6% 16.3% 13.4% 13.7% 12.0% 9.4% 5.8% 4.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Greer Wattson 7.6% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 10.4% 9.8% 6.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Maria El-Khazindar 8.5% 9.7% 10.6% 11.7% 10.0% 10.5% 10.6% 9.3% 7.5% 6.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Hannah Steadman 17.3% 15.1% 14.7% 11.6% 11.1% 9.9% 8.5% 5.0% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Riley Legault 11.2% 11.8% 12.3% 10.0% 9.6% 10.6% 10.2% 9.3% 6.9% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Haddon Hughes 8.1% 9.3% 8.6% 9.5% 10.7% 10.2% 11.3% 8.4% 9.1% 7.2% 5.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Grace Howie 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 7.9% 5.8% 9.1% 8.0% 11.7% 11.9% 11.9% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0%
Anna Patterson 2.3% 4.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.0% 4.7% 7.5% 6.8% 10.6% 13.7% 17.7% 14.5% 8.3%
Sylvia Hopkins 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.7% 8.2% 12.2% 16.4% 21.4% 16.4%
Brittney Slook 9.5% 8.4% 10.3% 9.9% 12.2% 10.3% 8.8% 9.5% 7.6% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Christine Moloney 4.7% 5.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.6% 12.3% 11.4% 12.6% 8.9% 5.9% 2.6%
Erin Coyne 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 4.3% 5.7% 4.6% 8.1% 14.7% 22.3% 30.5%
Cailin Considine 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 4.9% 7.3% 13.0% 22.6% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.