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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.46+4.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+0.78vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.92vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+0.14vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.35vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.02+0.75vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.55vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.65-0.58vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.44-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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4.16Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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3.78Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.14George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.07Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.51Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida1.020.0%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haddon Hughes | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 19.5% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Riley Legault | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Hopkins | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 17.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 22.1% | 25.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 9.7% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.