Race 14B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Greer Wattson 8.4% 8.4% 9.2% 10.8% 9.2% 10.9% 9.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.3% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Haddon Hughes 7.6% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 10.9% 11.0% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.2% 3.9% 2.6% 0.6%
Riley Legault 10.8% 10.2% 12.5% 10.9% 10.9% 10.1% 11.4% 9.3% 6.3% 3.9% 3.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Hannah Steadman 17.4% 15.9% 14.6% 13.8% 10.7% 7.9% 7.0% 6.6% 3.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Grace Howie 6.2% 5.8% 6.9% 8.1% 6.6% 8.9% 10.5% 9.3% 10.4% 11.8% 8.6% 5.3% 1.6%
Christine Moloney 4.8% 5.0% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% 11.4% 11.2% 10.6% 11.2% 7.2% 1.8%
Louisa Nordstrom 20.8% 17.8% 14.5% 13.4% 10.1% 7.8% 6.5% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Maria El-Khazindar 8.8% 11.2% 10.6% 9.4% 9.6% 10.5% 12.2% 9.8% 8.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Brittney Slook 8.7% 8.9% 10.4% 7.9% 11.4% 11.6% 9.6% 8.4% 8.7% 7.6% 4.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Sylvia Hopkins 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 2.0% 3.9% 3.6% 3.9% 5.8% 7.8% 12.7% 16.6% 19.0% 17.4%
Erin Coyne 1.3% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 3.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 7.2% 8.8% 15.1% 22.4% 26.5%
Anna Patterson 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 10.3% 12.0% 17.4% 16.8% 10.0%
Cailin Considine 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 3.4% 5.3% 8.3% 10.8% 21.2% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.