Race 2A

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jackson Wagner 11.3% 10.1% 11.4% 11.7% 15.5% 14.5% 12.4% 12.3% 0.8%
Matthew Gibbs 8.8% 12.7% 13.4% 13.2% 15.0% 14.3% 12.3% 8.7% 1.6%
Matthew Lyons 14.4% 16.0% 15.0% 14.8% 12.8% 13.0% 8.8% 4.3% 0.9%
Jackson Hamilton 12.7% 13.7% 15.1% 14.3% 13.0% 11.9% 11.7% 6.9% 0.7%
Alexander Tong 27.8% 21.3% 15.3% 11.9% 9.1% 7.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Frank Reeg 8.5% 9.4% 10.6% 12.4% 14.0% 13.7% 16.5% 13.2% 1.7%
Ben Brown 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 6.9% 7.8% 10.9% 16.9% 36.6% 8.0%
Alex Moreno 11.6% 12.0% 13.8% 13.4% 12.0% 12.1% 14.5% 9.4% 1.2%
Martin Hooker 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 0.8% 2.2% 2.2% 6.5% 84.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.