Race 3A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Gibbs 13.0% 12.2% 11.8% 12.8% 16.7% 11.7% 12.1% 9.3% 0.4%
Jackson Wagner 7.8% 10.9% 11.7% 13.8% 12.5% 16.1% 14.4% 10.7% 2.1%
Alexander Tong 24.7% 19.3% 16.9% 15.0% 11.4% 7.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Alex Moreno 11.2% 12.9% 13.5% 14.0% 13.9% 12.7% 12.6% 8.0% 1.2%
Matthew Lyons 16.8% 18.0% 14.6% 12.2% 12.1% 12.1% 7.9% 5.5% 0.8%
Frank Reeg 7.9% 9.7% 10.8% 12.7% 12.2% 14.9% 16.2% 13.8% 1.8%
Ben Brown 4.5% 3.4% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 10.4% 17.2% 37.4% 7.8%
Jackson Hamilton 13.3% 13.0% 14.0% 12.3% 12.5% 13.2% 12.7% 8.1% 0.9%
Martin Hooker 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 6.1% 84.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.