Race 4A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Gibbs 12.2% 13.6% 11.7% 13.9% 13.2% 12.9% 13.6% 7.6% 1.3%
Jackson Wagner 7.7% 10.6% 12.7% 10.9% 15.4% 13.8% 15.3% 12.3% 1.3%
Alexander Tong 24.9% 19.7% 16.4% 14.3% 10.3% 9.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Matthew Lyons 16.6% 16.3% 15.2% 14.4% 12.3% 11.4% 8.6% 4.8% 0.4%
Alex Moreno 11.9% 14.7% 13.1% 13.5% 11.9% 11.2% 12.2% 10.1% 1.4%
Jackson Hamilton 13.2% 11.7% 14.4% 13.4% 13.6% 14.2% 11.7% 6.7% 1.1%
Frank Reeg 8.1% 8.8% 10.0% 11.5% 14.1% 14.8% 17.1% 13.2% 2.4%
Martin Hooker 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 3.1% 7.4% 83.1%
Ben Brown 4.7% 4.1% 5.3% 7.0% 8.2% 10.8% 14.3% 36.7% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.