Race 3A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Paul Luisi 3.3% 2.7% 2.9% 4.3% 6.3% 9.5% 13.5% 28.7% 28.8%
Nathaniel Sabatt 25.3% 24.7% 16.7% 13.6% 9.1% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 14.5% 15.0% 17.2% 15.4% 12.7% 12.8% 7.5% 4.4% 0.5%
Jessica Thal 7.3% 7.9% 13.4% 11.9% 14.3% 14.4% 16.2% 10.6% 4.0%
Samuel Bedinger 12.3% 13.7% 15.2% 13.5% 12.0% 14.6% 10.4% 6.7% 1.6%
Tyler Kennedy 18.1% 17.3% 15.9% 15.9% 14.2% 9.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.5%
Taylor Hoover 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 3.0% 4.5% 10.5% 20.0% 53.3%
Mary Gamber 11.1% 10.5% 10.6% 13.5% 14.6% 14.1% 13.7% 8.5% 3.4%
Joan Boyle 6.5% 6.2% 6.0% 8.9% 13.8% 13.3% 19.5% 17.9% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.