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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+4.87vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+3.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.96+6.31vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.58+4.59vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38+3.08vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+4.89vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.27+3.70vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10-2.50vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.37-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46+3.88vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering0.22-5.64vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.19-5.03vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.66-4.41vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.36-6.90vs Predicted
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15Williams College-1.54-3.52vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.10-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Salve Regina University0.9711.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.6%1st Place
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9.31Boston University-0.964.2%1st Place
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8.59Bates College-0.584.0%1st Place
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8.08University of New Hampshire-0.385.1%1st Place
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10.89Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.8%1st Place
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10.7Bentley University-1.272.9%1st Place
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5.5University of New Hampshire0.1013.0%1st Place
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7.54Middlebury College-0.377.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.6%1st Place
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5.36Olin College of Engineering0.2212.4%1st Place
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6.97Northeastern University-0.198.6%1st Place
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8.59Brandeis University-0.664.5%1st Place
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7.1McGill University-0.367.4%1st Place
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11.48Williams College-1.542.5%1st Place
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10.16Bentley University-1.103.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas David | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Harrison Nash | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Sean Lund | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 8.3% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Sam Harris | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 50.6% |
| James Jagielski | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grant Smith | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.