Race 5A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Lyons 16.4% 14.6% 14.8% 14.5% 12.3% 11.9% 8.9% 6.5% 0.1%
Alexander Tong 20.0% 22.4% 17.1% 13.4% 13.2% 5.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.2%
Jackson Hamilton 12.5% 12.0% 13.9% 13.6% 13.4% 13.7% 12.1% 7.7% 1.1%
Alex Moreno 12.1% 12.4% 12.6% 14.7% 12.9% 12.4% 13.8% 8.0% 1.1%
Jackson Wagner 11.1% 12.3% 13.8% 11.3% 12.3% 14.7% 11.9% 10.6% 2.0%
Matthew Gibbs 12.6% 13.5% 11.4% 13.7% 14.1% 15.2% 11.7% 7.3% 0.5%
Ben Brown 4.4% 3.7% 5.0% 7.3% 8.0% 10.1% 17.5% 36.0% 8.0%
Frank Reeg 10.4% 8.3% 10.4% 10.6% 12.9% 13.9% 15.7% 15.5% 2.3%
Martin Hooker 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 2.5% 2.5% 6.2% 84.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.