← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Lyons 16.6% 15.3% 13.7% 15.0% 12.2% 11.7% 8.9% 6.0% 0.6%
Alexander Tong 21.7% 20.0% 17.8% 14.4% 11.3% 8.5% 3.8% 2.2% 0.3%
Ben Brown 4.1% 5.0% 4.7% 5.3% 8.5% 10.7% 15.4% 38.1% 8.2%
Jackson Wagner 10.1% 12.3% 12.8% 11.9% 13.8% 13.4% 13.8% 10.7% 1.2%
Frank Reeg 9.2% 11.2% 11.8% 12.6% 10.4% 13.3% 14.7% 14.7% 2.1%
Alex Moreno 12.3% 11.5% 10.8% 14.5% 15.0% 13.0% 14.7% 7.2% 1.0%
Jackson Hamilton 12.2% 11.5% 14.8% 13.1% 14.0% 14.5% 11.9% 7.1% 0.9%
Martin Hooker 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 3.7% 6.0% 84.2%
Matthew Gibbs 12.9% 12.7% 12.4% 12.3% 13.9% 13.2% 13.1% 8.0% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.