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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.80+2.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.27vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+3.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.42+0.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.11vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-1.52vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60-2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.48+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.56-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Bowdoin College2.800.2%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.43Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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4.63Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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4.48Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.37Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Lyons | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.7% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 38.1% | 8.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 1.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 2.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 12.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 84.2% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.