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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jackson Hamilton 12.6% 12.4% 13.6% 12.8% 14.1% 12.9% 12.7% 8.6% 0.3%
Alex Moreno 8.0% 13.3% 12.3% 13.3% 14.5% 13.7% 13.6% 8.9% 2.4%
Matthew Gibbs 11.4% 12.4% 13.7% 13.7% 11.9% 15.2% 10.3% 10.2% 1.2%
Ben Brown 4.3% 4.3% 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 9.6% 15.0% 35.9% 7.5%
Alexander Tong 28.7% 20.0% 15.6% 12.3% 9.4% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Jackson Wagner 10.1% 12.0% 11.2% 15.0% 14.0% 12.2% 14.7% 9.8% 1.0%
Frank Reeg 8.7% 8.4% 10.5% 11.7% 12.5% 14.6% 16.9% 14.6% 2.1%
Matthew Lyons 15.5% 16.5% 15.3% 12.3% 13.6% 12.6% 9.9% 3.8% 0.5%
Martin Hooker 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 6.4% 84.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.