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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+3.38vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.56+1.47vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52+2.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.26-1.95vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.42-1.39vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.92vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80-4.09vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.48-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.26Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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4.61Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.91Bowdoin College2.800.2%1st Place
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8.57University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 0.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 1.2% |
| Ben Brown | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 35.9% | 7.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 28.7% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Wagner | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 1.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 15.5% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 6.4% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.