Race 8A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander Tong 24.6% 19.4% 17.8% 14.4% 10.6% 5.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 8.9% 11.3% 14.7% 13.5% 15.2% 14.5% 12.0% 8.8% 1.1%
Jackson Hamilton 11.9% 13.8% 11.5% 14.7% 13.9% 13.5% 12.2% 7.2% 1.3%
Jackson Wagner 11.9% 11.6% 11.9% 13.7% 13.5% 12.7% 14.0% 9.3% 1.4%
Matthew Lyons 16.6% 18.6% 13.4% 12.8% 12.5% 11.4% 8.4% 5.3% 1.0%
Frank Reeg 8.3% 8.9% 11.3% 11.1% 14.2% 15.4% 15.0% 14.1% 1.7%
Ben Brown 4.4% 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 7.0% 11.1% 17.0% 36.9% 7.8%
Alex Moreno 12.8% 11.3% 13.3% 12.4% 12.1% 13.5% 13.7% 9.7% 1.2%
Martin Hooker 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 6.6% 84.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.