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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+3.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.42+2.87vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.56+0.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.26-1.95vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.52+0.32vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.91vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.48+0.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.87Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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6.32Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.91Bowdoin College2.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 1.7% |
| Alex Moreno | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 12.0% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 27.7% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 34.8% | 8.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 1.8% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 84.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 16.1% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.