← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Middlebury College1.52+5.35vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.51+2.79vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.42+1.78vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.60+0.24vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.01vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.97-2.34vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.26-3.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.56-3.56vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut-0.48-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.35Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.79Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.78Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
-
4.24Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
4.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
-
3.66Bowdoin College2.970.2%1st Place
-
3.18Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
-
4.44University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 33.8% | 8.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 1.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 2.7% |
| Christian Filter | 17.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 23.8% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 0.7% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.