Race 11A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ben Brown 5.1% 3.6% 5.9% 6.5% 8.4% 10.0% 16.6% 37.2% 6.7%
Matthew Gibbs 9.9% 11.2% 13.2% 12.1% 14.1% 16.0% 12.1% 10.2% 1.2%
Matthew Lyons 15.7% 13.8% 15.2% 15.0% 13.2% 10.0% 11.4% 5.3% 0.4%
Alex Moreno 12.0% 13.6% 12.6% 13.6% 13.0% 12.6% 12.4% 9.2% 1.0%
Frank Reeg 9.0% 10.7% 11.9% 12.2% 11.1% 12.3% 15.8% 14.4% 2.6%
Jackson Hamilton 13.4% 12.0% 13.2% 14.0% 14.1% 14.6% 10.9% 6.6% 1.2%
Alexander Tong 23.9% 22.3% 16.0% 13.5% 11.7% 7.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Martin Hooker 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 2.2% 2.5% 5.9% 85.1%
Jackson Wagner 10.3% 12.1% 11.1% 11.9% 13.6% 15.1% 14.7% 9.6% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.