Race 12A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Gibbs 12.9% 12.0% 11.5% 15.2% 13.5% 13.3% 13.5% 7.6% 0.5%
Alex Moreno 8.3% 10.9% 14.0% 12.4% 14.6% 14.5% 13.5% 10.4% 1.4%
Ben Brown 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 5.9% 9.4% 11.3% 16.3% 35.1% 8.4%
Matthew Lyons 15.9% 16.2% 17.0% 12.7% 12.3% 11.5% 9.1% 5.0% 0.3%
Jackson Hamilton 13.7% 14.9% 13.2% 14.3% 11.7% 11.9% 10.0% 8.9% 1.4%
Alexander Tong 24.9% 21.4% 16.5% 14.8% 10.8% 6.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Jackson Wagner 10.2% 9.8% 12.0% 12.4% 15.0% 15.2% 13.0% 10.8% 1.6%
Frank Reeg 9.7% 9.3% 9.7% 11.4% 11.6% 14.1% 18.0% 13.8% 2.4%
Martin Hooker 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 3.1% 6.5% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.