Race 13A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Lyons 16.4% 14.5% 15.2% 14.4% 12.5% 11.5% 9.0% 6.4% 0.1%
Alexander Tong 19.9% 22.4% 16.7% 14.8% 12.3% 6.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Jackson Wagner 10.0% 10.9% 12.6% 11.7% 12.5% 15.8% 13.9% 10.7% 1.9%
Matthew Gibbs 13.2% 11.9% 13.7% 15.1% 13.4% 11.8% 13.1% 6.9% 0.9%
Jackson Hamilton 13.0% 14.9% 14.7% 11.1% 13.3% 13.0% 10.8% 7.6% 1.6%
Alex Moreno 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 13.4% 13.8% 15.6% 12.9% 7.5% 0.8%
Ben Brown 4.4% 4.1% 4.0% 7.7% 8.7% 9.6% 16.7% 36.9% 7.9%
Frank Reeg 10.6% 8.5% 10.0% 10.9% 12.8% 13.7% 16.2% 15.0% 2.3%
Martin Hooker 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 2.7% 2.3% 6.7% 84.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.