Race 14A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Gibbs 12.7% 12.3% 12.0% 14.1% 14.1% 13.6% 11.9% 8.8% 0.5%
Alexander Tong 21.4% 21.1% 16.9% 15.1% 11.8% 7.1% 3.8% 2.7% 0.1%
Alex Moreno 11.2% 11.5% 13.7% 12.0% 13.0% 14.5% 14.0% 8.6% 1.5%
Jackson Wagner 10.6% 11.8% 11.4% 15.2% 12.9% 12.6% 13.4% 11.1% 1.0%
Matthew Lyons 16.7% 17.8% 15.4% 10.6% 13.5% 10.3% 9.4% 5.4% 0.9%
Jackson Hamilton 13.4% 11.6% 14.2% 13.9% 12.4% 14.7% 12.4% 6.6% 0.8%
Frank Reeg 8.5% 8.5% 10.5% 11.8% 12.5% 15.6% 15.8% 14.4% 2.4%
Ben Brown 5.1% 4.6% 4.7% 6.3% 9.0% 9.3% 16.8% 35.3% 8.9%
Martin Hooker 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 2.5% 7.1% 83.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.