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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+4.92vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+3.42vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38+4.98vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.00vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.19+1.13vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.58+1.37vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.54+3.48vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+1.89vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.27+0.81vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.37-3.37vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.10-1.87vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.36-5.93vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.66-5.51vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.96-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Salve Regina University0.9711.2%1st Place
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5.42Olin College of Engineering0.2212.4%1st Place
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7.98University of New Hampshire-0.386.2%1st Place
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5.4University of New Hampshire0.1012.5%1st Place
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6.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.9%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University-0.196.8%1st Place
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8.37Bates College-0.586.1%1st Place
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11.48Williams College-1.542.1%1st Place
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10.89Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.4%1st Place
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10.81Bentley University-1.272.6%1st Place
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7.63Middlebury College-0.376.3%1st Place
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10.13Bentley University-1.103.0%1st Place
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7.07McGill University-0.367.3%1st Place
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8.49Brandeis University-0.665.4%1st Place
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9.45Boston University-0.964.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sam Harris | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grant Smith | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 9.6% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 8.4% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas David | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.