Race 4A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathaniel Sabatt 29.3% 23.3% 16.3% 12.5% 9.5% 5.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Gerard Tonachel 11.6% 16.8% 16.5% 15.3% 15.1% 12.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.2%
Tyler Kennedy 19.0% 15.0% 17.7% 15.4% 12.3% 11.1% 6.5% 3.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 7.2% 10.2% 10.1% 12.0% 14.0% 15.4% 15.2% 11.4% 4.5%
Mary Gamber 10.4% 11.9% 14.4% 13.3% 12.2% 12.6% 14.0% 8.1% 3.1%
Paul Luisi 2.5% 2.4% 4.4% 5.6% 5.3% 8.9% 13.0% 30.1% 27.8%
Joan Boyle 5.9% 5.9% 5.6% 9.7% 12.2% 14.5% 20.2% 17.7% 8.3%
Taylor Hoover 2.0% 1.4% 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 5.8% 8.7% 20.2% 53.0%
Samuel Bedinger 12.1% 13.1% 12.6% 13.1% 16.0% 14.1% 12.3% 4.8% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.