Race 15A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Lyons 15.7% 15.8% 14.0% 14.8% 12.4% 12.0% 9.9% 4.8% 0.6%
Alex Moreno 8.4% 12.3% 12.6% 12.7% 14.3% 14.7% 14.3% 9.4% 1.3%
Jackson Wagner 10.3% 10.2% 12.7% 12.0% 12.7% 13.1% 16.1% 11.8% 1.1%
Jackson Hamilton 12.9% 14.3% 13.2% 13.9% 14.5% 12.8% 10.6% 7.2% 0.6%
Matthew Gibbs 13.2% 13.5% 15.1% 12.1% 12.9% 10.4% 12.2% 9.1% 1.5%
Alexander Tong 25.2% 20.5% 17.7% 14.5% 10.1% 7.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Frank Reeg 8.6% 7.8% 10.2% 11.9% 12.8% 17.2% 15.9% 12.9% 2.7%
Martin Hooker 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 2.3% 2.6% 7.6% 83.2%
Ben Brown 5.0% 4.6% 3.9% 7.0% 9.4% 10.5% 15.0% 35.6% 9.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.