Race 16A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jackson Hamilton 12.5% 13.7% 12.2% 12.9% 15.5% 11.5% 13.0% 8.0% 0.7%
Alex Moreno 8.4% 10.6% 14.1% 13.6% 13.5% 15.2% 12.3% 10.2% 2.1%
Matthew Gibbs 12.4% 10.6% 15.2% 12.0% 13.4% 14.6% 12.6% 7.9% 1.3%
Jackson Wagner 10.9% 11.9% 12.0% 13.6% 13.6% 12.8% 13.7% 10.1% 1.4%
Matthew Lyons 16.9% 18.8% 13.4% 12.4% 12.8% 10.2% 8.9% 5.8% 0.8%
Frank Reeg 9.1% 8.4% 9.9% 13.0% 12.2% 15.6% 16.4% 13.6% 1.8%
Alexander Tong 24.2% 20.4% 17.3% 15.0% 9.5% 7.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Ben Brown 5.0% 4.8% 4.8% 6.5% 8.4% 10.5% 15.9% 35.7% 8.4%
Martin Hooker 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 7.4% 83.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.