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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+2.89vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.60+1.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26-0.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.42+0.16vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80-1.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.55vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.52-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.78Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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2.76Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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4.16Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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3.54Bowdoin College2.800.2%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.43Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 14.7% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 28.5% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 11.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 12.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 15.7% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 5.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| Ben Brown | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.