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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+2.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+0.74vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+0.86vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80-0.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.42-0.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.58vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.52-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.74Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.86Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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3.54Bowdoin College2.800.2%1st Place
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4.16Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.43Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 9.4% |
| Alexander Tong | 28.4% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 14.1% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 8.7% |
| Matthew Lyons | 17.5% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Jackson Wagner | 9.7% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 12.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| Ben Brown | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.