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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+1.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+0.85vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.35+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.16+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77+0.13vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-3.18vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.33-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.28Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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4.92Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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3.82Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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6.88Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 22.1% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 20.4% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| August Sturm | 15.3% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Robert Rose | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Sam Rush | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 8.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 12.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 15.9% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 25.1% | 26.3% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.