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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+2.81vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+1.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.35+2.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26-0.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.16-0.67vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.33-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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3.27Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.06Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.92Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 17.1% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 18.9% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Robert Rose | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.6% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| August Sturm | 17.0% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Sam Rush | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 25.4% | 26.7% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 21.1% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.