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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+2.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.99vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.35+2.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97-0.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.26-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.16-1.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.33-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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5.07Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.72Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 24.1% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 11.2% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Rose | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 15.6% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 24.5% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 13.1% |
| Sam Rush | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 6.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 25.8% | 26.6% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.