Race 5A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathaniel Sabatt 29.3% 21.3% 19.1% 14.0% 7.5% 5.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Tyler Kennedy 13.1% 19.1% 18.4% 14.8% 12.6% 10.8% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0%
Gerard Tonachel 15.7% 14.8% 14.7% 17.0% 13.7% 12.2% 7.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Paul Luisi 2.3% 2.9% 3.9% 6.0% 6.9% 9.4% 14.1% 26.5% 28.0%
Samuel Bedinger 12.8% 14.9% 13.9% 12.6% 13.1% 13.8% 9.9% 6.5% 2.5%
Joan Boyle 5.6% 6.6% 7.8% 8.1% 12.1% 13.6% 20.5% 17.5% 8.2%
Mary Gamber 9.9% 10.6% 10.3% 12.8% 16.8% 15.8% 13.0% 8.1% 2.7%
Jessica Thal 9.3% 7.9% 9.4% 11.5% 13.5% 15.0% 15.8% 11.9% 5.7%
Taylor Hoover 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 9.4% 22.0% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.