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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+1.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.35+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.16+1.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77+0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-3.18vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.33-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.27Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.06Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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3.82Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 21.8% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 20.8% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Rose | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Sam Rush | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 7.4% |
| August Sturm | 17.0% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 12.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.1% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 25.2% | 26.3% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.