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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vincent Yannelli 5.3% 3.9% 7.4% 8.6% 9.9% 12.5% 17.3% 20.0% 15.1%
Robert Rose 5.9% 7.4% 11.8% 11.8% 13.7% 18.6% 16.0% 9.8% 5.0%
August Sturm 14.3% 16.8% 15.7% 15.6% 13.8% 13.0% 7.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Sam Rush 5.8% 9.8% 10.0% 10.6% 14.1% 14.7% 15.9% 12.4% 6.7%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 26.2% 21.1% 17.8% 11.5% 10.0% 7.8% 4.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Haley Kachmar 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 5.4% 8.3% 8.3% 15.8% 25.5% 26.4%
Robby Gearon 15.3% 15.6% 16.0% 16.6% 13.2% 11.6% 7.6% 3.5% 0.6%
Alexander Tong 22.3% 19.6% 14.4% 16.4% 12.6% 7.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Ryan Walker 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 6.3% 10.7% 23.5% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.