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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+5.11vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.35+3.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.16+1.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38-1.94vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.33+0.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-3.17vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26-4.68vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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5.19Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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3.06Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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3.83Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 15.1% |
| Robert Rose | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| August Sturm | 14.3% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sam Rush | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 6.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 26.2% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Haley Kachmar | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 25.5% | 26.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 15.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 22.3% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 23.5% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.