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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.39+4.33vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.54+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.95vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of California at Berkeley1.530.2%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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5.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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2.5University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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8.03University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.71California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 17.1% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Peter Wong | 33.5% | 25.3% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 10.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Jason Barr | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 41.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 12.5% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 14.6% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 13.4% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.