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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-1.52vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.39+0.24vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.54+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.13-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of California at Berkeley1.530.2%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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5.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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6.24University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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6.83California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.06University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 17.0% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brian MacLean | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Laura Roudebush | 13.8% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Wong | 32.8% | 27.6% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 14.6% |
| Jason Barr | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 41.7% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 14.3% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.