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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+2.87vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-1.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.39+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.95vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.62-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of California at Berkeley1.530.2%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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5.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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2.47University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.71California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 18.0% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Brian MacLean | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Lausten | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Peter Wong | 34.1% | 26.0% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 13.5% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 8.2% |
| Laura Roudebush | 12.7% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.2% |
| Grant Lin | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 44.3% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.