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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33-0.54vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.62+2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.28vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of California at Berkeley1.530.2%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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5.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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6.73California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.29University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 17.1% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Brian MacLean | 10.0% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Peter Wong | 34.5% | 25.9% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Laura Roudebush | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Grant Lin | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 43.5% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 13.8% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 8.2% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.