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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+0.48vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+2.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.98vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06-3.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.54-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of California at Berkeley1.530.2%1st Place
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2.48University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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5.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.7California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 17.3% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Peter Wong | 34.8% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 12.1% |
| Laura Roudebush | 13.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 14.9% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Brian MacLean | 9.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Jason Barr | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 40.8% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.