Race 6A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Kennedy 17.9% 18.7% 16.3% 14.6% 13.1% 10.2% 6.1% 3.0% 0.1%
Nathaniel Sabatt 25.9% 22.5% 19.7% 12.9% 9.8% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Jessica Thal 6.4% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 13.3% 15.5% 16.9% 13.2% 4.2%
Paul Luisi 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.7% 6.2% 8.8% 15.6% 26.5% 28.6%
Gerard Tonachel 16.9% 18.7% 14.9% 12.3% 13.8% 10.5% 6.9% 4.7% 1.3%
Samuel Bedinger 12.2% 10.7% 14.2% 16.2% 14.6% 13.3% 10.9% 6.2% 1.7%
Mary Gamber 9.8% 9.8% 11.7% 14.0% 15.9% 15.5% 11.8% 8.5% 3.0%
Taylor Hoover 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 4.5% 10.3% 20.1% 52.3%
Joan Boyle 6.6% 5.5% 6.6% 10.5% 10.2% 16.2% 19.0% 16.7% 8.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.