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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.43+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.39+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-1.52vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.13+0.78vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.91vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-4.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.54-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of California at Los Angeles1.430.2%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Berkeley1.530.2%1st Place
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2.48University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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6.72California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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5.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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8.13University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Roudebush | 15.1% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Peter Wong | 32.5% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 14.3% |
| Jayden Potter | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.8% |
| Brian MacLean | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Jason Barr | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.