← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.33+1.50vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.91vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine1.06+1.88vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+1.60vs Predicted
-
6California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.72vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.91vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis0.13-1.22vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.39-2.75vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.62-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5University of Southern California2.330.4%1st Place
-
3.91University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
-
4.88University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
-
4.04University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
6.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.72California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
6.78University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
6.25University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
8.22University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 36.6% | 24.3% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Solomon | 14.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Brian MacLean | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Clements | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Grant Lin | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.