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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.10vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33-2.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.39+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.31vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.62-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of California at Berkeley1.530.2%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Southern California2.330.4%1st Place
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6.21University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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6.73California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.22University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Brian MacLean | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 13.1% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Peter Wong | 35.8% | 26.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 43.9% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.