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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.08+2.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.32vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.18+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.43-3.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.64-0.90vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.44-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Berkeley0.920.2%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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4.41University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.07California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 38.0% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 15.5% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Leah Ford | 14.0% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| James Kerman | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 4.9% |
| David Luu | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 11.7% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 18.4% | 33.2% | 22.8% |
| Justin Clements | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.