← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.72+1.39vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine0.08+3.18vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.66vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.18+2.27vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.24vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.43-2.53vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-1.47vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-1.64-0.89vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-2.44-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
-
5.18University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.66University of California at Berkeley0.920.2%1st Place
-
3.56University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
7.27University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
-
4.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
-
4.47University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
-
6.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
-
8.11University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
9.07California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 37.9% | 24.8% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Ian Markowitz | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 14.8% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Luu | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 24.3% | 25.3% | 9.9% |
| James Melvin | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| James Kerman | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 14.1% | 4.9% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 32.6% | 23.4% |
| Justin Clements | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 19.0% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.