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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.02+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.08+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.43+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.18+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.62vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.64-1.12vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.44-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of California at Berkeley1.020.2%1st Place
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2.17University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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4.12University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.96California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Fargo | 20.6% | 24.8% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Paul Chyz | 41.0% | 26.3% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| David Luu | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 9.7% |
| James Melvin | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| James Kerman | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 29.7% | 21.8% |
| Justin Clements | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 18.5% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.