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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.43+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.08+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.02-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.18+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.39vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-2.44+2.03vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.64-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
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3.08University of California at Berkeley1.020.2%1st Place
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6.98University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.03California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
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6.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yan Rui Goheen | 12.6% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Philip Tagatac | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Paul Chyz | 38.4% | 28.1% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 19.9% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 4.8% |
| Justin Clements | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 58.8% |
| James Kerman | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 3.6% |
| James Melvin | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 25.7% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.