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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.08+2.25vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69+2.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.43-2.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.64-0.82vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.44-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Los Angeles0.920.2%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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4.5University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.12California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 38.6% | 22.8% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 14.8% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| James Kerman | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 16.5% | 4.7% |
| Leah Ford | 16.1% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Melvin | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 7.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Hayley Chong | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 7.2% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 34.4% | 25.2% |
| Justin Clements | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 19.8% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.