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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.43+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.08+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.19vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.64+0.12vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.44+0.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.84-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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4.55University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.12California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 36.8% | 25.7% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 14.9% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 14.4% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| James Melvin | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| James Kerman | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 32.1% | 24.8% |
| Justin Clements | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 18.6% | 62.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 22.6% | 20.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.