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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine0.08+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.02+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.43+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.84+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-3.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.47vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-1.73vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.44+0.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.64-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Berkeley1.020.2%1st Place
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4.16University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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2.15University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.02California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Tagatac | 7.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| James Melvin | 9.5% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Fargo | 20.2% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 11.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Hayley Chong | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 15.9% | 5.2% |
| Paul Chyz | 41.2% | 27.5% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 5.4% |
| James Kerman | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 4.1% |
| Justin Clements | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 61.2% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 31.0% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.